Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月8日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
7月8日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
22°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 交易量
$125,174 交易量
2026-07-08
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$125,174 交易量
$125,174 交易量
2026-07-08
18°C或以下
$2,782 交易量
否
19°C
$3,790 交易量
否
20°C
$28,753 交易量
否
21°C
$14,182 交易量
否
22°C
$26,141 交易量
是
23°C
$26,500 交易量
否
24°C
$9,723 交易量
否
25°C
$4,432 交易量
否
26°C
$2,572 交易量
否
27°C
$2,684 交易量
否
28°C或更高
$3,615 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$125,174結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$125,174結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current short-range ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI places Amsterdam’s July 8 maximum near 23–25°C under a mild westerly flow with limited cloud cover and modest daytime heating. This consensus, combined with early-July climatology centered on 21–22°C, underpins the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Differentiation among 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, the precise timing of any scattered afternoon cumulus, and local urban heat-island effects captured in official KNMI station readings. The next high-resolution model cycles and updated ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the spread and likely shift volume between the adjacent contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions