Strong model consensus from agencies including ECMWF, KNMI, and the UK Met Office projects a 17°C daytime maximum in Amsterdam on June 14 under overcast skies, light showers, and northwest winds near 20 km/h that limit solar heating and align with surface observations. These cool, stable conditions, typical for mid-June marine-influenced patterns, have kept temperatures capped near this level through the day, driving near-certain market-implied odds for the 17°C outcome. Resolution hinges on official highest recorded value, with only narrow uncertainty from minor measurement variations or localized clearing that could briefly allow a degree higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$64,890 交易量
$64,890 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$64,890 交易量
$64,890 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Strong model consensus from agencies including ECMWF, KNMI, and the UK Met Office projects a 17°C daytime maximum in Amsterdam on June 14 under overcast skies, light showers, and northwest winds near 20 km/h that limit solar heating and align with surface observations. These cool, stable conditions, typical for mid-June marine-influenced patterns, have kept temperatures capped near this level through the day, driving near-certain market-implied odds for the 17°C outcome. Resolution hinges on official highest recorded value, with only narrow uncertainty from minor measurement variations or localized clearing that could briefly allow a degree higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions