Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, driven by a westerly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This follows warmer conditions of 23–24°C on September 14–15, marking a transition to unsettled weather with precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% and winds shifting westward at 10–15 mph. The outlook sits slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.2°C for the date. These conditions underpin the market's leading implied probabilities for 18°C (42%) and 19°C (25.5%), with lower outcomes like 17°C at 10.5% reflecting minor model spread and potential for localized variations in maximum readings. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月16日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
18°C 39%
19°C 30%
17°C 11%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18°C
39%
19°C
30%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
2%
18°C 39%
19°C 30%
17°C 11%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
14°C
$0 交易量
3%
15°C
$0 交易量
6%
16°C
$11 交易量
7%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$153 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
30%
20°C
$10 交易量
9%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, driven by a westerly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This follows warmer conditions of 23–24°C on September 14–15, marking a transition to unsettled weather with precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% and winds shifting westward at 10–15 mph. The outlook sits slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.2°C for the date. These conditions underpin the market's leading implied probabilities for 18°C (42%) and 19°C (25.5%), with lower outcomes like 17°C at 10.5% reflecting minor model spread and potential for localized variations in maximum readings. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$174結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, driven by a westerly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This follows warmer conditions of 23–24°C on September 14–15, marking a transition to unsettled weather with precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% and winds shifting westward at 10–15 mph. The outlook sits slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.2°C for the date. These conditions underpin the market's leading implied probabilities for 18°C (42%) and 19°C (25.5%), with lower outcomes like 17°C at 10.5% reflecting minor model spread and potential for localized variations in maximum readings. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$174結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, driven by a westerly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This follows warmer conditions of 23–24°C on September 14–15, marking a transition to unsettled weather with precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% and winds shifting westward at 10–15 mph. The outlook sits slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.2°C for the date. These conditions underpin the market's leading implied probabilities for 18°C (42%) and 19°C (25.5%), with lower outcomes like 17°C at 10.5% reflecting minor model spread and potential for localized variations in maximum readings. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions