Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 20?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$96,658 交易量
$96,658 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$96,658 交易量
$96,658 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 14°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 20, anchored by official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, which recorded a midday peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. METAR aviation reports corroborate this, showing temperatures topping out at 14°C around 15:50 local time amid a cool air mass suppressing typical April highs of 16–18°C. This positioning reflects verified measurement data rather than forecasts, with resolution imminent upon final MGM validation. Realistic challenges include rare post-initial data revisions uncovering an overlooked higher reading from automated sensors, though preliminary reports show strong alignment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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