Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$95,937 交易量
$95,937 交易量
2026-04-21
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$95,937 交易量
$95,937 交易量
2026-04-21
11°C or below
$2,692 交易量
No
12°C
$2,470 交易量
No
13°C
$3,633 交易量
No
14°C
$8,966 交易量
No
15°C
$10,660 交易量
No
16°C
$14,711 交易量
No
17°C
$18,065 交易量
Yes
18°C
$17,693 交易量
No
19°C
$10,364 交易量
No
20°C
$2,864 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$3,817 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$95,937結束日期
2026-04-21市場開放時間
Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$95,937結束日期
2026-04-21市場開放時間
Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions