Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Busan’s July 17 maximum likely falling between 28–32°C amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions, with thundershowers and overcast skies potentially capping peaks near 29–30°C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity moderate daytime highs compared to inland areas, while model runs show sensitivity to cloud cover and precipitation timing that can suppress or allow brief warming. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because historical July averages hover near 29°C and current guidance reflects modest day-to-day variability rather than extreme heat or sustained clearing. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift probabilities within the narrow favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月17日釜山的最高溫度?
31°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,088 交易量
$39,088 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,088 交易量
$39,088 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Busan’s July 17 maximum likely falling between 28–32°C amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions, with thundershowers and overcast skies potentially capping peaks near 29–30°C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity moderate daytime highs compared to inland areas, while model runs show sensitivity to cloud cover and precipitation timing that can suppress or allow brief warming. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because historical July averages hover near 29°C and current guidance reflects modest day-to-day variability rather than extreme heat or sustained clearing. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift probabilities within the narrow favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions