**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月6日釜山的最高溫度？
7月6日釜山的最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,256 交易量
$67,256 交易量
2026-07-06
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,256 交易量
$67,256 交易量
2026-07-06
24°C或以下
$3,785 交易量
否
25°C
$3,649 交易量
否
26°C
$5,388 交易量
否
27°C
$5,411 交易量
否
28°C
$6,592 交易量
否
29°C
$9,519 交易量
否
30°C
$8,910 交易量
是
31°C
$8,339 交易量
否
32°C
$8,292 交易量
否
33°C
$4,578 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$2,792 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$67,256結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$67,256結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus centers on 29°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Busan on July 6, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models.** These place the city near the edge of the North Pacific high, with a nearby stationary monsoon front and typical early-July humidity supporting daytime peaks slightly above the long-term average high of ~27–28°C. Coastal sea breezes and potential organized rainfall on the date are expected to moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for 31°C+ relatively low while clustering implied odds tightly around the upper 20s. Updated short-range model guidance and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions