Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月2日成都最高溫度?
4月2日成都最高溫度?
21°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$101,259 交易量
$101,259 交易量
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$101,259 交易量
$101,259 交易量
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on April 2, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with recent China Meteorological Administration data showing overcast conditions from a passing low-pressure trough, capping temperatures below the April climatological average of around 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of finalized hourly readings, with minimal risk of revision as the station's data stabilizes post-sunset. Only an anomalous late sensor adjustment or unverified microclimate discrepancy at the airport could realistically challenge this positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions