**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chicago on August 28, 2026, shows overwhelming consensus on 82-83°F due to the official National Weather Service observation at Chicago O’Hare International Airport.** The maximum reached 83°F at 2:32 PM CDT, following a morning low of 66°F under clear skies with no significant weather or precipitation. This outcome sits just 2°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal high of 81°F, consistent with a mild late-summer pattern featuring light southerly winds and moderate humidity that allowed efficient daytime heating without extreme amplification. Official climatological reports issued the same day locked in the value, removing forecast uncertainty once observations were complete. Market-implied odds near 100% on this narrow band reflect traders’ recognition of authoritative surface observations from the primary reporting station. A realistic scenario that could have challenged the outcome would require a post-event data revision or an alternate station reading falling outside the 82–83°F window, though such adjustments are uncommon for verified NWS daily summaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日芝加哥的最高溫度?
82-83°F 100.0%
華氏75度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$22,053 交易量
$22,053 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
華氏75度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$22,053 交易量
$22,053 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chicago on August 28, 2026, shows overwhelming consensus on 82-83°F due to the official National Weather Service observation at Chicago O’Hare International Airport.** The maximum reached 83°F at 2:32 PM CDT, following a morning low of 66°F under clear skies with no significant weather or precipitation. This outcome sits just 2°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal high of 81°F, consistent with a mild late-summer pattern featuring light southerly winds and moderate humidity that allowed efficient daytime heating without extreme amplification. Official climatological reports issued the same day locked in the value, removing forecast uncertainty once observations were complete. Market-implied odds near 100% on this narrow band reflect traders’ recognition of authoritative surface observations from the primary reporting station. A realistic scenario that could have challenged the outcome would require a post-event data revision or an alternate station reading falling outside the 82–83°F window, though such adjustments are uncommon for verified NWS daily summaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions