Current forecast models and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on June 9, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on this outcome. June climatology for the region typically features daytime highs of 27–33°C amid humid subtropical conditions, yet recent model runs show cooler air advection and increased cloud cover suppressing peak values to this precise threshold. Trader consensus reflects the tight agreement across ensemble predictions, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings. Unlikely shifts, such as localized clearing or revised station data, could alter the result, though probabilities remain low given the convergence of available guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月9日重慶氣溫最高?
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$93,841 交易量
$93,841 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$93,841 交易量
$93,841 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecast models and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on June 9, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on this outcome. June climatology for the region typically features daytime highs of 27–33°C amid humid subtropical conditions, yet recent model runs show cooler air advection and increased cloud cover suppressing peak values to this precise threshold. Trader consensus reflects the tight agreement across ensemble predictions, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings. Unlikely shifts, such as localized clearing or revised station data, could alter the result, though probabilities remain low given the convergence of available guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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