Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 10?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 10?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,475 交易量
$67,475 交易量
2026-05-10
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$67,475 交易量
$67,475 交易量
2026-05-10
24°C or below
$6,827 交易量
No
25°C
$7,586 交易量
No
26°C
$9,569 交易量
No
27°C
$13,325 交易量
No
28°C
$7,019 交易量
Yes
29°C
$7,018 交易量
No
30°C
$6,941 交易量
No
31°C
$3,916 交易量
No
32°C
$2,188 交易量
No
33°C
$1,644 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$1,442 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$67,475結束日期
2026-05-10市場開放時間
May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$67,475結束日期
2026-05-10市場開放時間
May 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Chongqing on May 10, 2026, driven by official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Chongqing Jiangbei Airport, confirming a midday peak of 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which converged on 27-29°C highs amid the region's basin topography that traps heat for typical early-May maxima averaging 26°C. With the diurnal heating cycle complete and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from clear skies or downslope föhn winds—scenarios refuted by current nowcasts. Final CMA daily record expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions