Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 4?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 4?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,798 交易量
$88,798 交易量
2026-05-04
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,798 交易量
$88,798 交易量
2026-05-04
22°C or below
$9,219 交易量
No
23°C
$3,165 交易量
No
24°C
$6,569 交易量
No
25°C
$14,175 交易量
No
26°C
$5,929 交易量
No
27°C
$14,148 交易量
No
28°C
$6,085 交易量
Yes
29°C
$11,854 交易量
No
30°C
$10,196 交易量
No
31°C
$5,370 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$2,088 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$88,798結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$88,798結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions