Market icon

4月5日香港最高溫度?

Market icon

4月5日香港最高溫度?

27°C 35%

26°C 31%

25°C 18%

28°C 13.0%

Polymarket

$19,662 交易量

27°C 35%

26°C 31%

25°C 18%

28°C 13.0%

Polymarket

$19,662 交易量

19°C或以下

$4,739 交易量

<1%

20°C

$3,832 交易量

<1%

21°C

$2,113 交易量

<1%

22°C

$1,724 交易量

<1%

23°C

$1,514 交易量

2%

24°C

$980 交易量

4%

25°C

$725 交易量

18%

26°C

$958 交易量

31%

27°C

$731 交易量

35%

28°C

$806 交易量

13%

29°C或以上

$1,550 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 5 under mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms, driven by a trough of low pressure edging from the Guangdong coast. High humidity (75–95%) and south-southeast winds force 3–5 support mild conditions following April 4's 24–25°C readings amid recent heavy rain and a cancelled rainstorm warning. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 27°C (33.5%) and 26°C (33.0%) due to forecast uncertainty: persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation could cap heating at 26°C, while intermittent sunny breaks might enable 27°C peaks. Above-normal April temperatures align with 2026's projected record heat; watch the 16:30 HKT update for model refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,662
結束日期
2026-04-05
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated at 11:30 HKT on April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 5 under mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms, driven by a trough of low pressure edging from the Guangdong coast. High humidity (75–95%) and south-southeast winds force 3–5 support mild conditions following April 4's 24–25°C readings amid recent heavy rain and a cancelled rainstorm warning. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 27°C (33.5%) and 26°C (33.0%) due to forecast uncertainty: persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation could cap heating at 26°C, while intermittent sunny breaks might enable 27°C peaks. Above-normal April temperatures align with 2026's projected record heat; watch the 16:30 HKT update for model refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,662
結束日期
2026-04-05
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月5日香港最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 35%, followed by "26°C" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "4月5日香港最高溫度?" has generated $19.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "4月5日香港最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月5日香港最高溫度?" is "27°C" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月5日香港最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.