National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 20 project a high near 99°F under sunny skies with southwest winds near 5 mph and heat indices reaching 104°F, consistent with an established heat dome suppressing clouds and rainfall. This aligns with model consensus and recent patterns showing above-average August highs amid typical humidity levels that limit overnight cooling. Trader positioning favors the 98-99°F bin at 52.5% implied probability, followed by 100-101°F at 18.5%, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes given stable steering patterns and no imminent frontal passages or tropical influences. Historical climatology places average daily highs around 95°F, but current conditions support the modest upward bias in market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日休斯敦的最高溫度?
98-99°F 54%
100-101°F 19%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 7%
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 54%
100-101°F 19%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 7%
華氏91度或以下
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 20 project a high near 99°F under sunny skies with southwest winds near 5 mph and heat indices reaching 104°F, consistent with an established heat dome suppressing clouds and rainfall. This aligns with model consensus and recent patterns showing above-average August highs amid typical humidity levels that limit overnight cooling. Trader positioning favors the 98-99°F bin at 52.5% implied probability, followed by 100-101°F at 18.5%, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes given stable steering patterns and no imminent frontal passages or tropical influences. Historical climatology places average daily highs around 95°F, but current conditions support the modest upward bias in market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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