Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 交易量
$84,714 交易量
2026-05-04
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 交易量
$84,714 交易量
2026-05-04
28°C or below
$1,609 交易量
No
29°C
$2,842 交易量
No
30°C
$6,295 交易量
No
31°C
$7,459 交易量
No
32°C
$6,288 交易量
No
33°C
$9,313 交易量
No
34°C
$19,351 交易量
Yes
35°C
$18,749 交易量
No
36°C
$5,681 交易量
No
37°C
$3,669 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$3,459 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$84,714結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,714結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions