**Multiple forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate a daytime high of 32–34°C for Jinan on August 20, consistent with typical late-summer conditions in Shandong province where August averages exceed 30°C.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, warm southerly flow, and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, keeping temperatures well above the 26°C threshold with high confidence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no approaching cold fronts or significant precipitation capable of substantially suppressing the maximum. Only an unseasonably vigorous northerly surge or widespread heavy rain—both outside current guidance—could realistically drop the high near or below 26°C, an outcome assigned negligible market probability given the consensus data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日濟南氣溫最高？
8月20日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 99.4%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
$325 交易量
<1%
17°C
$325 交易量
<1%
18°C
$325 交易量
<1%
19°C
$346 交易量
<1%
20°C
$348 交易量
1%
21°C
$325 交易量
1%
22°C
$225 交易量
<1%
23°C
$260 交易量
<1%
24°C
$180 交易量
<1%
25°C
$165 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$897 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Multiple forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate a daytime high of 32–34°C for Jinan on August 20, consistent with typical late-summer conditions in Shandong province where August averages exceed 30°C.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, warm southerly flow, and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, keeping temperatures well above the 26°C threshold with high confidence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no approaching cold fronts or significant precipitation capable of substantially suppressing the maximum. Only an unseasonably vigorous northerly surge or widespread heavy rain—both outside current guidance—could realistically drop the high near or below 26°C, an outcome assigned negligible market probability given the consensus data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,721結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Multiple forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate a daytime high of 32–34°C for Jinan on August 20, consistent with typical late-summer conditions in Shandong province where August averages exceed 30°C.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, warm southerly flow, and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, keeping temperatures well above the 26°C threshold with high confidence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no approaching cold fronts or significant precipitation capable of substantially suppressing the maximum. Only an unseasonably vigorous northerly surge or widespread heavy rain—both outside current guidance—could realistically drop the high near or below 26°C, an outcome assigned negligible market probability given the consensus data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,721結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Multiple forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate a daytime high of 32–34°C for Jinan on August 20, consistent with typical late-summer conditions in Shandong province where August averages exceed 30°C.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, warm southerly flow, and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, keeping temperatures well above the 26°C threshold with high confidence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no approaching cold fronts or significant precipitation capable of substantially suppressing the maximum. Only an unseasonably vigorous northerly surge or widespread heavy rain—both outside current guidance—could realistically drop the high near or below 26°C, an outcome assigned negligible market probability given the consensus data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions