Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models project a daily high of 31–34°C in Jinan on August 21 under persistent subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for late summer in Shandong province. These align with climatological baselines showing August averages near 32–33°C and recent observational trends of warm, humid air masses with limited cooling from transient thunderstorms. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model agreement and the low historical frequency of sub-26°C August maxima in the region. An unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or significant measurement revision at official stations could theoretically alter the outcome, though current steering patterns and ensemble runs indicate minimal risk of such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日濟南氣溫最高?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models project a daily high of 31–34°C in Jinan on August 21 under persistent subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for late summer in Shandong province. These align with climatological baselines showing August averages near 32–33°C and recent observational trends of warm, humid air masses with limited cooling from transient thunderstorms. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model agreement and the low historical frequency of sub-26°C August maxima in the region. An unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or significant measurement revision at official stations could theoretically alter the outcome, though current steering patterns and ensemble runs indicate minimal risk of such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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