India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 18 under persistent clear sky conditions, aligning with trader consensus favoring 41°C (34.5% implied probability) and 42°C (33.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations show temperatures rising sharply—39.3°C maximum on April 15 amid a regional heatwave in Uttar Pradesh, with dry northerly winds and high solar insolation driving 2–3°C gains forecast through April 18. This pre-monsoon heating in the Gangetic plains, coupled with minimal cloud cover, heightens uncertainty between these thresholds, as model ensembles indicate potential for slight overruns if subsidence strengthens. Daily IMD updates on April 17 will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 35%
42°C 34%
43°C 14%
40°C 14%
39°C or below
9%
40°C
14%
41°C
35%
42°C
34%
43°C
14%
44°C
10%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C or higher
1%
41°C 35%
42°C 34%
43°C 14%
40°C 14%
39°C or below
9%
40°C
14%
41°C
35%
42°C
34%
43°C
14%
44°C
10%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 18 under persistent clear sky conditions, aligning with trader consensus favoring 41°C (34.5% implied probability) and 42°C (33.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations show temperatures rising sharply—39.3°C maximum on April 15 amid a regional heatwave in Uttar Pradesh, with dry northerly winds and high solar insolation driving 2–3°C gains forecast through April 18. This pre-monsoon heating in the Gangetic plains, coupled with minimal cloud cover, heightens uncertainty between these thresholds, as model ensembles indicate potential for slight overruns if subsidence strengthens. Daily IMD updates on April 17 will refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions