Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on June 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 23?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$24,546 交易量
$24,546 交易量
2026-06-23
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$24,546 交易量
$24,546 交易量
2026-06-23
28°C or below
$277 交易量
No
29°C
$183 交易量
No
30°C
$797 交易量
No
31°C
$3,978 交易量
No
32°C
$9,121 交易量
Yes
33°C
$3,458 交易量
No
34°C
$2,840 交易量
No
35°C
$2,320 交易量
No
36°C
$1,110 交易量
No
37°C
$278 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$186 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$24,546結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,546結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent PAGASA forecasts highlight the southwest monsoon driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through June 23, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal 32°C average. Official outlooks list 32–33°C highs with 60–80% rain chances on adjacent days, consistent with high humidity and moderate southwest winds that suppress peak temperatures. Model consensus points to 32–34°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence—clearer breaks could push toward 34°C while prolonged convection favors 32–33°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around those levels ahead of the June 23 resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions