Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on April 24?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 24?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$141,217 交易量
$141,217 交易量
2026-04-24
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$141,217 交易量
$141,217 交易量
2026-04-24
71°F or below
$664 交易量
No
72-73°F
$3,188 交易量
No
74-75°F
$5,648 交易量
No
76-77°F
$9,788 交易量
No
78-79°F
$16,509 交易量
No
80-81°F
$42,871 交易量
No
82-83°F
$30,154 交易量
Yes
84-85°F
$15,898 交易量
No
86-87°F
$8,721 交易量
No
88-89°F
$3,898 交易量
No
90°F or higher
$3,878 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
交易量
$141,217結束日期
2026-04-24市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$141,217結束日期
2026-04-24市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions