Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show consensus peak afternoon temperatures of 23-25°C in Milan on April 18, driving trader sentiment toward 23°C at 30.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge fostering mild conditions above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. The broad distribution reflects inherent model uncertainty, with 24°C (20.5%) and 26°C (17%) viable if southerly winds enhance warm air advection and maximize insolation under partly cloudy skies, while 21-22°C outcomes gain traction from ensemble members signaling increased cloud cover or northerly shear disrupting boundary layer heating. Lower probabilities for extremes stem from stable synoptic patterns limiting convective outbursts or cold fronts; key variables include cloud fraction, surface winds, and ridge persistence, with fresh 12Z model runs expected April 16-17 to sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Milano Linate Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
23°C 31%
24°C 20%
26°C 18%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
10%
22°C
17%
23°C
31%
24°C
26%
25°C
13%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
8%
23°C 31%
24°C 20%
26°C 18%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
18°C or below
$117 交易量
1%
19°C
$130 交易量
1%
20°C
$14 交易量
8%
21°C
$8 交易量
10%
22°C
$5 交易量
17%
23°C
$6 交易量
31%
24°C
$5 交易量
26%
25°C
$5 交易量
13%
26°C
$5 交易量
18%
27°C
$5 交易量
8%
28°C or higher
$7 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show consensus peak afternoon temperatures of 23-25°C in Milan on April 18, driving trader sentiment toward 23°C at 30.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge fostering mild conditions above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. The broad distribution reflects inherent model uncertainty, with 24°C (20.5%) and 26°C (17%) viable if southerly winds enhance warm air advection and maximize insolation under partly cloudy skies, while 21-22°C outcomes gain traction from ensemble members signaling increased cloud cover or northerly shear disrupting boundary layer heating. Lower probabilities for extremes stem from stable synoptic patterns limiting convective outbursts or cold fronts; key variables include cloud fraction, surface winds, and ridge persistence, with fresh 12Z model runs expected April 16-17 to sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Milano Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$308結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show consensus peak afternoon temperatures of 23-25°C in Milan on April 18, driving trader sentiment toward 23°C at 30.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge fostering mild conditions above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. The broad distribution reflects inherent model uncertainty, with 24°C (20.5%) and 26°C (17%) viable if southerly winds enhance warm air advection and maximize insolation under partly cloudy skies, while 21-22°C outcomes gain traction from ensemble members signaling increased cloud cover or northerly shear disrupting boundary layer heating. Lower probabilities for extremes stem from stable synoptic patterns limiting convective outbursts or cold fronts; key variables include cloud fraction, surface winds, and ridge persistence, with fresh 12Z model runs expected April 16-17 to sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Milano Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$308結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show consensus peak afternoon temperatures of 23-25°C in Milan on April 18, driving trader sentiment toward 23°C at 30.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge fostering mild conditions above the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. The broad distribution reflects inherent model uncertainty, with 24°C (20.5%) and 26°C (17%) viable if southerly winds enhance warm air advection and maximize insolation under partly cloudy skies, while 21-22°C outcomes gain traction from ensemble members signaling increased cloud cover or northerly shear disrupting boundary layer heating. Lower probabilities for extremes stem from stable synoptic patterns limiting convective outbursts or cold fronts; key variables include cloud fraction, surface winds, and ridge persistence, with fresh 12Z model runs expected April 16-17 to sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Milano Linate Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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