Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a high near the late-September climatological average of 18.2°C for Munich on September 25, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and light northeasterly flow under mostly clear skies. This supports the clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, while the 50% probability assigned to 22°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in longer-range ensemble spreads and potential for modest warm advection. Cooler Atlantic air masses have recently suppressed temperatures across central Europe, consistent with the observed 16–19°C range in the latest 10-day guidance and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model cycles and official DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term signals for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月25日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
18°C 53%
19°C 34%
21°C 18%
20°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
15%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
46%
19°C
34%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C或以上
10%
18°C 53%
19°C 34%
21°C 18%
20°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
13°C
$0 交易量
4%
14°C
$0 交易量
4%
15°C
$0 交易量
15%
16°C
$0 交易量
9%
17°C
$0 交易量
15%
18°C
$46 交易量
46%
19°C
$10 交易量
34%
20°C
$0 交易量
17%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a high near the late-September climatological average of 18.2°C for Munich on September 25, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and light northeasterly flow under mostly clear skies. This supports the clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, while the 50% probability assigned to 22°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in longer-range ensemble spreads and potential for modest warm advection. Cooler Atlantic air masses have recently suppressed temperatures across central Europe, consistent with the observed 16–19°C range in the latest 10-day guidance and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model cycles and official DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$50結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a high near the late-September climatological average of 18.2°C for Munich on September 25, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and light northeasterly flow under mostly clear skies. This supports the clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, while the 50% probability assigned to 22°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in longer-range ensemble spreads and potential for modest warm advection. Cooler Atlantic air masses have recently suppressed temperatures across central Europe, consistent with the observed 16–19°C range in the latest 10-day guidance and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model cycles and official DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent European forecast models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a high near the late-September climatological average of 18.2°C for Munich on September 25, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure and light northeasterly flow under mostly clear skies. This supports the clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, while the 50% probability assigned to 22°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in longer-range ensemble spreads and potential for modest warm advection. Cooler Atlantic air masses have recently suppressed temperatures across central Europe, consistent with the observed 16–19°C range in the latest 10-day guidance and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model cycles and official DWD briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term signals for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions