National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月19日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月19日紐約市的最高溫度？
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$140,562 交易量
$140,562 交易量
2026-07-19
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
華氏92度或更高
否
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$140,562 交易量
$140,562 交易量
2026-07-19
73°F or below
$3,499 交易量
No
74-75°F
$8,103 交易量
No
76-77°F
$20,041 交易量
No
78-79°F
$32,306 交易量
No
80-81°F
$20,292 交易量
Yes
82-83°F
$21,277 交易量
No
84-85°F
$15,043 交易量
No
86-87°F
$11,243 交易量
No
88-89°F
$4,330 交易量
No
90-91°F
$4,153 交易量
No
華氏92度或更高
$275 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$140,562結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$140,562結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions