Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Paris maximum temperatures on July 17 are most likely to settle near 27–28 °C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a mid-level ridge, expected cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around whether daytime heating reaches the 29 °C threshold, with any late-model shifts in timing or moisture likely to move the market. Historical July climatology places average highs near 25–26 °C, providing context for the current elevated forecast guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月17日巴黎最高溫度？
7月17日巴黎最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$132,702 交易量
$132,702 交易量
2026-07-17
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$132,702 交易量
$132,702 交易量
2026-07-17
19°C or below
$216 交易量
No
20°C
$216 交易量
No
21°C
$326 交易量
No
22°C
$221 交易量
No
23°C
$373 交易量
No
24°C
$6,253 交易量
No
25°C
$25,835 交易量
No
26°C
$25,414 交易量
Yes
27°C
$22,659 交易量
No
28°C
$22,582 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$28,606 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Paris maximum temperatures on July 17 are most likely to settle near 27–28 °C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a mid-level ridge, expected cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around whether daytime heating reaches the 29 °C threshold, with any late-model shifts in timing or moisture likely to move the market. Historical July climatology places average highs near 25–26 °C, providing context for the current elevated forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$132,702結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Paris maximum temperatures on July 17 are most likely to settle near 27–28 °C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a mid-level ridge, expected cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around whether daytime heating reaches the 29 °C threshold, with any late-model shifts in timing or moisture likely to move the market. Historical July climatology places average highs near 25–26 °C, providing context for the current elevated forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$132,702結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Paris maximum temperatures on July 17 are most likely to settle near 27–28 °C, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of a mid-level ridge, expected cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around whether daytime heating reaches the 29 °C threshold, with any late-model shifts in timing or moisture likely to move the market. Historical July climatology places average highs near 25–26 °C, providing context for the current elevated forecast guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions