Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on June 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 4?
26°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$168,709 交易量
$168,709 交易量
2026-06-04
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$168,709 交易量
$168,709 交易量
2026-06-04
17°C或以下
$2,517 交易量
否
18°C
$2,018 交易量
否
19°C
$1,178 交易量
否
20°C
$3,989 交易量
No
21°C
$8,485 交易量
No
22°C
$15,672 交易量
No
23°C
$14,216 交易量
No
24°C
$15,406 交易量
No
25°C
$30,311 交易量
No
26°C
$35,613 交易量
Yes
27°C or higher
$39,304 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$168,709結束日期
2026-06-04市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$168,709結束日期
2026-06-04市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Market-implied odds show near-certainty at 26°C for Seoul’s June 4 high temperature because official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration align precisely with that threshold under current early-summer conditions, including typical June diurnal ranges of roughly 18–29 °C and stable atmospheric patterns without strong warming or cooling influences. This trader consensus reflects real-time data on maximum daytime readings rather than long-range models. A late-day measurement revision, localized microclimate effects, or updated official verification could still shift the recorded high, though such adjustments remain uncommon once initial peaks are logged.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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