Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月7日深圳最高溫度？
7月7日深圳最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,884 交易量
$139,884 交易量
2026-07-07
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,884 交易量
$139,884 交易量
2026-07-07
24°C or below
$4,968 交易量
No
25°C
$8,907 交易量
No
26°C
$25,954 交易量
No
27°C
$19,571 交易量
No
28°C
$12,839 交易量
Yes
29°C
$8,427 交易量
No
30°C
$17,710 交易量
No
31°C
$8,759 交易量
No
32°C
$10,467 交易量
No
33°C
$10,981 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$11,302 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$139,884結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$139,884結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions