Recent meteorological guidance points to afternoon highs near 33°C in Shenzhen on June 24, with the market pricing 32–34°C outcomes nearly equally due to forecast uncertainty. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered showers or cloud bursts typical for mid-June can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 31–33°C daily maxima, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical weather prediction runs will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 24?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,063 交易量
$92,063 交易量
2026-06-24
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,063 交易量
$92,063 交易量
2026-06-24
27°C or below
$304 交易量
No
28°C
$268 交易量
No
29°C
$230 交易量
No
30°C
$9,069 交易量
No
31°C
$11,188 交易量
No
32°C
$15,116 交易量
No
33°C
$18,643 交易量
No
34°C
$14,925 交易量
Yes
35°C
$10,571 交易量
No
36°C
$7,164 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$4,584 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance points to afternoon highs near 33°C in Shenzhen on June 24, with the market pricing 32–34°C outcomes nearly equally due to forecast uncertainty. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered showers or cloud bursts typical for mid-June can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 31–33°C daily maxima, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical weather prediction runs will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$92,063結束日期
2026-06-24市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance points to afternoon highs near 33°C in Shenzhen on June 24, with the market pricing 32–34°C outcomes nearly equally due to forecast uncertainty. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered showers or cloud bursts typical for mid-June can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 31–33°C daily maxima, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical weather prediction runs will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$92,063結束日期
2026-06-24市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological guidance points to afternoon highs near 33°C in Shenzhen on June 24, with the market pricing 32–34°C outcomes nearly equally due to forecast uncertainty. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered showers or cloud bursts typical for mid-June can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 31–33°C daily maxima, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and regional numerical weather prediction runs will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions