Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 8?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,050 交易量
$141,050 交易量
2026-06-08
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,050 交易量
$141,050 交易量
2026-06-08
24°C or below
$895 交易量
No
25°C
$1,287 交易量
No
26°C
$1,901 交易量
No
27°C
$3,576 交易量
No
28°C
$41,045 交易量
No
29°C
$29,757 交易量
Yes
30°C
$18,116 交易量
No
31°C
$11,945 交易量
No
32°C
$12,932 交易量
No
33°C
$6,822 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$12,777 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 6, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
交易量
$141,050結束日期
2026-06-08市場開放時間
Jun 6, 2026, 3:19 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$141,050結束日期
2026-06-08市場開放時間
Jun 6, 2026, 3:19 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on 29°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 8, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow have suppressed daytime heating, keeping the observed peak aligned with the 29°C threshold rather than the month’s climatological average of 31°C. Official station readings and hourly updates through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal upside risk from localized warming. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum at the primary Shenzhen meteorological station; only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon clearing or measurement revision outside standard error margins could shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions