Latest model guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a high near 33–35°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under a warm subtropical air mass, explaining the near-even split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes at roughly 38–45% implied probability each. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong solar heating, while the timing and strength of the Mediterranean sea breeze—typically peaking mid-afternoon—introduce the key uncertainty that can cap or allow peaks at the upper end of that range. Historical mid-August climatology averages 30–32°C, but current elevated sea-surface temperatures and limited cloud cover support the warmer bias. Updated Israel Meteorological Service runs and afternoon observations will tighten the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月12日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
35°C 45%
34°C 39%
33°C 11%
36°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
32°C或以下
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
39%
35°C
45%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
35°C 45%
34°C 39%
33°C 11%
36°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
32°C或以下
$112 交易量
1%
33°C
$407 交易量
11%
34°C
$205 交易量
39%
35°C
$338 交易量
45%
36°C
$85 交易量
7%
37°C
$22 交易量
3%
38°C
$5 交易量
2%
39°C
$5 交易量
<1%
40°C
$129 交易量
<1%
41°C
$189 交易量
<1%
42°C或更高
$441 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a high near 33–35°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under a warm subtropical air mass, explaining the near-even split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes at roughly 38–45% implied probability each. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong solar heating, while the timing and strength of the Mediterranean sea breeze—typically peaking mid-afternoon—introduce the key uncertainty that can cap or allow peaks at the upper end of that range. Historical mid-August climatology averages 30–32°C, but current elevated sea-surface temperatures and limited cloud cover support the warmer bias. Updated Israel Meteorological Service runs and afternoon observations will tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,937結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a high near 33–35°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under a warm subtropical air mass, explaining the near-even split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes at roughly 38–45% implied probability each. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong solar heating, while the timing and strength of the Mediterranean sea breeze—typically peaking mid-afternoon—introduce the key uncertainty that can cap or allow peaks at the upper end of that range. Historical mid-August climatology averages 30–32°C, but current elevated sea-surface temperatures and limited cloud cover support the warmer bias. Updated Israel Meteorological Service runs and afternoon observations will tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,937結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a high near 33–35°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under a warm subtropical air mass, explaining the near-even split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes at roughly 38–45% implied probability each. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong solar heating, while the timing and strength of the Mediterranean sea breeze—typically peaking mid-afternoon—introduce the key uncertainty that can cap or allow peaks at the upper end of that range. Historical mid-August climatology averages 30–32°C, but current elevated sea-surface temperatures and limited cloud cover support the warmer bias. Updated Israel Meteorological Service runs and afternoon observations will tighten the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions