Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, show a maximum temperature of 31–32 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds and low humidity. Numerical models align closely on this range, reflecting typical early-September Mediterranean conditions near the long-term average high of ~30 °C. The market’s strong preference for 32 °C (72.5 % implied probability) tracks this consensus, while the smaller allocation to 33 °C (24.5 %) accounts for possible localized warming or slight model spread. No heatwave or anomalous atmospheric setup is indicated, keeping extremes below 30 °C or above 33 °C at very low probability. Final hourly observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine the exact daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
32°C 74%
33°C 22%
31°C 3%
30°C <1%
$12,664 交易量
$12,664 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
74%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 74%
33°C 22%
31°C 3%
30°C <1%
$12,664 交易量
$12,664 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
74%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 3, 2026, show a maximum temperature of 31–32 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds and low humidity. Numerical models align closely on this range, reflecting typical early-September Mediterranean conditions near the long-term average high of ~30 °C. The market’s strong preference for 32 °C (72.5 % implied probability) tracks this consensus, while the smaller allocation to 33 °C (24.5 %) accounts for possible localized warming or slight model spread. No heatwave or anomalous atmospheric setup is indicated, keeping extremes below 30 °C or above 33 °C at very low probability. Final hourly observations from the Israel Meteorological Service will determine the exact daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions