Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 21°C (32.5%) and 22°C (28.5%) as near-equally likely highest temperatures for Tokyo on April 6, reflecting tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models that project highs around 20–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region. Recent 48-hour updates show ensemble means near 21°C, driven by mild southerly flows early in the period shifting to lighter northerly winds, with 70–80% precipitation probabilities risking cloud cover to suppress daytime insolation and cap peaks at 20°C or boost to 22°C under clearer skies. Historical April baselines average 19°C at Haneda Airport station, but JMA's April-June outlook signals above-normal temperatures, amplifying variability. Watch JMA's twice-daily forecast refreshes for shifts in model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
21°C 34%
22°C 29%
20°C 17%
23°C or higher 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
17%
21°C
34%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
17%
21°C 34%
22°C 29%
20°C 17%
23°C or higher 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
13°C or below
$871 交易量
<1%
14°C
$887 交易量
<1%
15°C
$994 交易量
<1%
16°C
$633 交易量
1%
17°C
$820 交易量
1%
18°C
$728 交易量
3%
19°C
$926 交易量
9%
20°C
$1,182 交易量
17%
21°C
$808 交易量
34%
22°C
$885 交易量
29%
23°C or higher
$1,238 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 21°C (32.5%) and 22°C (28.5%) as near-equally likely highest temperatures for Tokyo on April 6, reflecting tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models that project highs around 20–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region. Recent 48-hour updates show ensemble means near 21°C, driven by mild southerly flows early in the period shifting to lighter northerly winds, with 70–80% precipitation probabilities risking cloud cover to suppress daytime insolation and cap peaks at 20°C or boost to 22°C under clearer skies. Historical April baselines average 19°C at Haneda Airport station, but JMA's April-June outlook signals above-normal temperatures, amplifying variability. Watch JMA's twice-daily forecast refreshes for shifts in model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$9,974結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 21°C (32.5%) and 22°C (28.5%) as near-equally likely highest temperatures for Tokyo on April 6, reflecting tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models that project highs around 20–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region. Recent 48-hour updates show ensemble means near 21°C, driven by mild southerly flows early in the period shifting to lighter northerly winds, with 70–80% precipitation probabilities risking cloud cover to suppress daytime insolation and cap peaks at 20°C or boost to 22°C under clearer skies. Historical April baselines average 19°C at Haneda Airport station, but JMA's April-June outlook signals above-normal temperatures, amplifying variability. Watch JMA's twice-daily forecast refreshes for shifts in model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,974結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices 21°C (32.5%) and 22°C (28.5%) as near-equally likely highest temperatures for Tokyo on April 6, reflecting tight uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models that project highs around 20–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region. Recent 48-hour updates show ensemble means near 21°C, driven by mild southerly flows early in the period shifting to lighter northerly winds, with 70–80% precipitation probabilities risking cloud cover to suppress daytime insolation and cap peaks at 20°C or boost to 22°C under clearer skies. Historical April baselines average 19°C at Haneda Airport station, but JMA's April-June outlook signals above-normal temperatures, amplifying variability. Watch JMA's twice-daily forecast refreshes for shifts in model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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