Weather model consensus from authoritative sources has converged on a daily maximum of exactly 33°C in Wuhan for June 17, with sunny intervals, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically climb above 30°C amid strengthening solar insolation ahead of the summer monsoon. Short-range numerical weather prediction runs show tight agreement around this value, leaving little room for deviation within observational uncertainty. The sole realistic challenge would involve an unforecasted increase in cloudiness or localized precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily resolution window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月17日武漢氣溫最高?
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,616 交易量
$50,616 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或以上
否
33°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,616 交易量
$50,616 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Weather model consensus from authoritative sources has converged on a daily maximum of exactly 33°C in Wuhan for June 17, with sunny intervals, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically climb above 30°C amid strengthening solar insolation ahead of the summer monsoon. Short-range numerical weather prediction runs show tight agreement around this value, leaving little room for deviation within observational uncertainty. The sole realistic challenge would involve an unforecasted increase in cloudiness or localized precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily resolution window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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