Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, show Ankara experiencing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow, driving the daily minimum to 14°C. This aligns with ensemble consensus from global models projecting dew points near 12°C and light winds limiting mixing, consistent with late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau. The strong market-implied probability reflects this data-driven agreement. A shift to thicker cloud cover or unexpected warm-air advection could push the low above 14°C, while clearer skies and drier conditions might allow it to dip lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日安卡拉的最低溫度?
14°C 96%
11°C 10%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
85%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 96%
11°C 10%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
85%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, show Ankara experiencing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow, driving the daily minimum to 14°C. This aligns with ensemble consensus from global models projecting dew points near 12°C and light winds limiting mixing, consistent with late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau. The strong market-implied probability reflects this data-driven agreement. A shift to thicker cloud cover or unexpected warm-air advection could push the low above 14°C, while clearer skies and drier conditions might allow it to dip lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions