Current forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 26°C in Busan on August 25, driven by persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system. This setup sustains warm, humid maritime air with limited radiative cooling overnight, typical of late-summer tropical night conditions where sea-surface temperatures moderate coastal drops. Historical averages for the period show lows of 23–25°C, but recent model runs and observed humidity levels support the higher minimum, aligning with the market's strong 80.5% implied probability for 26°C. No significant frontal systems or typhoon activity are expected to alter this in the immediate window, though minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes slightly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日釜山的最低溫度?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$5,199 交易量
$5,199 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$5,199 交易量
$5,199 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 26°C in Busan on August 25, driven by persistent influence from the North Pacific high-pressure system. This setup sustains warm, humid maritime air with limited radiative cooling overnight, typical of late-summer tropical night conditions where sea-surface temperatures moderate coastal drops. Historical averages for the period show lows of 23–25°C, but recent model runs and observed humidity levels support the higher minimum, aligning with the market's strong 80.5% implied probability for 26°C. No significant frontal systems or typhoon activity are expected to alter this in the immediate window, though minor forecast revisions could shift outcomes slightly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions