Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers across the Sichuan Basin have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius amid ongoing monsoon influences. Official forecasts from multiple models show lows of 21–25 °C depending on the exact timing and intensity of evening precipitation, which reduces the temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining elevated dew points around 24 °C. These factors create tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 26 °C, as modest shifts in wind speed or shower duration can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C without changing the broader synoptic pattern. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final official station reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日成都最低溫？
8月28日成都最低溫？
26°C 99.5%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$2,522 交易量
$2,522 交易量
2026-08-28
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 99.5%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$2,522 交易量
$2,522 交易量
2026-08-28
19°C or below
$185 交易量
No
20°C
$128 交易量
No
21°C
$218 交易量
No
22°C
$783 交易量
No
23°C
$42 交易量
No
24°C
$128 交易量
No
25°C
$55 交易量
No
26°C
$417 交易量
Yes
27°C
$189 交易量
No
28°C
$171 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$207 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers across the Sichuan Basin have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius amid ongoing monsoon influences. Official forecasts from multiple models show lows of 21–25 °C depending on the exact timing and intensity of evening precipitation, which reduces the temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining elevated dew points around 24 °C. These factors create tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 26 °C, as modest shifts in wind speed or shower duration can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C without changing the broader synoptic pattern. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,522結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers across the Sichuan Basin have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius amid ongoing monsoon influences. Official forecasts from multiple models show lows of 21–25 °C depending on the exact timing and intensity of evening precipitation, which reduces the temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining elevated dew points around 24 °C. These factors create tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 26 °C, as modest shifts in wind speed or shower duration can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C without changing the broader synoptic pattern. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,522結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers across the Sichuan Basin have limited nocturnal radiative cooling in Chengdu, anchoring the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius amid ongoing monsoon influences. Official forecasts from multiple models show lows of 21–25 °C depending on the exact timing and intensity of evening precipitation, which reduces the temperature drop by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining elevated dew points around 24 °C. These factors create tight market-implied odds between 23 °C and 26 °C, as modest shifts in wind speed or shower duration can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C without changing the broader synoptic pattern. Historical August baselines and current model consensus support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the final official station reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions