The dominant 10°C outcome at 90.3% implied probability reflects consistent numerical weather model guidance and recent observational trends showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driving Helsinki's minimum to that threshold. With daytime highs near 19°C and dew points supporting efficient heat loss after sunset, forecasts from multiple sources align on a low around 10–11°C, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where average minima reach 12.5°C but recent years have varied. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates model consensus on stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. A sudden increase in cloudiness or wind shift could push the low above 11°C, while unexpectedly clear and calm conditions might allow brief dips to 9°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
8月25日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
10°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$5,788 交易量
$5,788 交易量
2026-08-25
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
10°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$5,788 交易量
$5,788 交易量
2026-08-25
7°C或以下
$247 交易量
否
8°C
$95 交易量
否
9°C
$941 交易量
否
10°C
$795 交易量
是
11°C
$1,293 交易量
否
12°C
$832 交易量
否
13°C
$115 交易量
否
14°C
$702 交易量
否
15°C
$120 交易量
否
16°C
$125 交易量
否
17°C或更高
$522 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 10°C outcome at 90.3% implied probability reflects consistent numerical weather model guidance and recent observational trends showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driving Helsinki's minimum to that threshold. With daytime highs near 19°C and dew points supporting efficient heat loss after sunset, forecasts from multiple sources align on a low around 10–11°C, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where average minima reach 12.5°C but recent years have varied. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates model consensus on stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. A sudden increase in cloudiness or wind shift could push the low above 11°C, while unexpectedly clear and calm conditions might allow brief dips to 9°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$5,788結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 10°C outcome at 90.3% implied probability reflects consistent numerical weather model guidance and recent observational trends showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driving Helsinki's minimum to that threshold. With daytime highs near 19°C and dew points supporting efficient heat loss after sunset, forecasts from multiple sources align on a low around 10–11°C, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where average minima reach 12.5°C but recent years have varied. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates model consensus on stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. A sudden increase in cloudiness or wind shift could push the low above 11°C, while unexpectedly clear and calm conditions might allow brief dips to 9°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,788結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The dominant 10°C outcome at 90.3% implied probability reflects consistent numerical weather model guidance and recent observational trends showing overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, driving Helsinki's minimum to that threshold. With daytime highs near 19°C and dew points supporting efficient heat loss after sunset, forecasts from multiple sources align on a low around 10–11°C, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where average minima reach 12.5°C but recent years have varied. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates model consensus on stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. A sudden increase in cloudiness or wind shift could push the low above 11°C, while unexpectedly clear and calm conditions might allow brief dips to 9°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions