Trader consensus on Jeddah's lowest temperature for September 5 shows tight clustering around 28–31°C, reflecting genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in regional models. Primary drivers include Red Sea sea-surface temperatures moderating overnight cooling, local wind patterns from the Arabian Peninsula high-pressure ridge, and typical September humidity levels that limit radiative heat loss. Recent model runs highlight minor divergences in predicted low-level moisture and wind speed, which directly affect minimum readings. Saudi meteorological updates and refined ensemble forecasts expected overnight remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月5日最低溫度?
30°C 52%
34°C 49%
26°C 48%
27°C 48%
25°C或以下
17%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
27%
32°C
48%
33°C
48%
34°C
49%
35°C或更高
18%
30°C 52%
34°C 49%
26°C 48%
27°C 48%
25°C或以下
17%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
27%
32°C
48%
33°C
48%
34°C
49%
35°C或更高
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Jeddah's lowest temperature for September 5 shows tight clustering around 28–31°C, reflecting genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in regional models. Primary drivers include Red Sea sea-surface temperatures moderating overnight cooling, local wind patterns from the Arabian Peninsula high-pressure ridge, and typical September humidity levels that limit radiative heat loss. Recent model runs highlight minor divergences in predicted low-level moisture and wind speed, which directly affect minimum readings. Saudi meteorological updates and refined ensemble forecasts expected overnight remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions