Traders heavily favor a 27°C minimum in Karachi on August 22 because official forecasts and climatological data from sources like AccuWeather and Weatherspark indicate overnight lows clustering tightly around 26–27°C, consistent with Karachi’s typical August pattern of coastal humidity suppressing radiative cooling. Model consensus shows stable conditions with daily averages near 32°C high and 27°C low, rarely deviating more than 1°C absent unusual monsoon surges. Recent observations through mid-August confirm similar minima, supporting the strong market-implied probability above 90%. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of drier air or unforecasted cloud cover allowing temperatures to dip to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures make such a shift improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日卡拉奇的最低溫度？
8月22日卡拉奇的最低溫度？
27°C 99.5%
25°C 19%
26°C 5%
22°C或以下 <1%
$2,718 交易量
$2,718 交易量
2026-08-22
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
27°C 99.5%
25°C 19%
26°C 5%
22°C或以下 <1%
$2,718 交易量
$2,718 交易量
2026-08-22
22°C或以下
$115 交易量
否
23°C
$125 交易量
否
24°C
$957 交易量
否
25°C
$136 交易量
否
26°C
$186 交易量
否
27°C
$207 交易量
是
28°C
$296 交易量
否
29°C
$122 交易量
否
30°C
$323 交易量
否
31°C
$125 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$125 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor a 27°C minimum in Karachi on August 22 because official forecasts and climatological data from sources like AccuWeather and Weatherspark indicate overnight lows clustering tightly around 26–27°C, consistent with Karachi’s typical August pattern of coastal humidity suppressing radiative cooling. Model consensus shows stable conditions with daily averages near 32°C high and 27°C low, rarely deviating more than 1°C absent unusual monsoon surges. Recent observations through mid-August confirm similar minima, supporting the strong market-implied probability above 90%. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of drier air or unforecasted cloud cover allowing temperatures to dip to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures make such a shift improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
交易量
$2,718結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor a 27°C minimum in Karachi on August 22 because official forecasts and climatological data from sources like AccuWeather and Weatherspark indicate overnight lows clustering tightly around 26–27°C, consistent with Karachi’s typical August pattern of coastal humidity suppressing radiative cooling. Model consensus shows stable conditions with daily averages near 32°C high and 27°C low, rarely deviating more than 1°C absent unusual monsoon surges. Recent observations through mid-August confirm similar minima, supporting the strong market-implied probability above 90%. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of drier air or unforecasted cloud cover allowing temperatures to dip to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures make such a shift improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,718結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders heavily favor a 27°C minimum in Karachi on August 22 because official forecasts and climatological data from sources like AccuWeather and Weatherspark indicate overnight lows clustering tightly around 26–27°C, consistent with Karachi’s typical August pattern of coastal humidity suppressing radiative cooling. Model consensus shows stable conditions with daily averages near 32°C high and 27°C low, rarely deviating more than 1°C absent unusual monsoon surges. Recent observations through mid-August confirm similar minima, supporting the strong market-implied probability above 90%. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of drier air or unforecasted cloud cover allowing temperatures to dip to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures make such a shift improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions