Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 14°C low in Milan on August 22, 2026, reflects the convergence of real-time station observations from Milan Linate and regional networks with model outputs showing clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling under dry air masses. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local ilMeteo runs indicated a minimum near this threshold during the pre-dawn hours, consistent with August climatology of 15–18°C lows yet nudged lower by calm conditions and minimal urban heat retention. Official National Meteorological Service data and hourly updates through the morning resolution window have locked in this outcome with negligible dispersion across ensembles. The only realistic challenges remain unverified station calibration adjustments or an undocumented microscale urban cooling pocket exceeding modeled values, both low-probability given multiple independent sensors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月22日米蘭的最低溫度？
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$4,645 交易量
$4,645 交易量
2026-08-22
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$4,645 交易量
$4,645 交易量
2026-08-22
10°C or below
$221 交易量
No
11°C
$251 交易量
No
12°C
$251 交易量
No
13°C
$640 交易量
No
14°C
$806 交易量
Yes
15°C
$297 交易量
No
16°C
$308 交易量
No
17°C
$230 交易量
No
18°C
$509 交易量
No
19°C
$863 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$269 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 14°C low in Milan on August 22, 2026, reflects the convergence of real-time station observations from Milan Linate and regional networks with model outputs showing clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling under dry air masses. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local ilMeteo runs indicated a minimum near this threshold during the pre-dawn hours, consistent with August climatology of 15–18°C lows yet nudged lower by calm conditions and minimal urban heat retention. Official National Meteorological Service data and hourly updates through the morning resolution window have locked in this outcome with negligible dispersion across ensembles. The only realistic challenges remain unverified station calibration adjustments or an undocumented microscale urban cooling pocket exceeding modeled values, both low-probability given multiple independent sensors.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$4,645結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 14°C low in Milan on August 22, 2026, reflects the convergence of real-time station observations from Milan Linate and regional networks with model outputs showing clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling under dry air masses. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local ilMeteo runs indicated a minimum near this threshold during the pre-dawn hours, consistent with August climatology of 15–18°C lows yet nudged lower by calm conditions and minimal urban heat retention. Official National Meteorological Service data and hourly updates through the morning resolution window have locked in this outcome with negligible dispersion across ensembles. The only realistic challenges remain unverified station calibration adjustments or an undocumented microscale urban cooling pocket exceeding modeled values, both low-probability given multiple independent sensors.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,645結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 14°C low in Milan on August 22, 2026, reflects the convergence of real-time station observations from Milan Linate and regional networks with model outputs showing clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling under dry air masses. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local ilMeteo runs indicated a minimum near this threshold during the pre-dawn hours, consistent with August climatology of 15–18°C lows yet nudged lower by calm conditions and minimal urban heat retention. Official National Meteorological Service data and hourly updates through the morning resolution window have locked in this outcome with negligible dispersion across ensembles. The only realistic challenges remain unverified station calibration adjustments or an undocumented microscale urban cooling pocket exceeding modeled values, both low-probability given multiple independent sensors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions