Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low in Munich on August 31 between 14–17°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds, creating tight clustering around 13–15°C in trader pricing. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling after sunset, potential for brief rain to suppress temperature drops by releasing latent heat, and subtle steering influences from a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing slightly cooler Atlantic air advection. Model spreads arise from resolution differences in boundary-layer humidity and wind shear, with historical August minima averaging 12.4°C but recent late-month conditions running 2–3°C above baseline. Updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service or ECMWF on August 30 could sharpen resolution odds before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8月31日慕尼黑最低溫度？
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
21°C or higher 49%
15°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
11°C or below
21%
12°C
20%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
21°C or higher 49%
15°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
11°C or below
$0 交易量
21%
12°C
$0 交易量
20%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
49%
18°C
$0 交易量
49%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
8%
21°C or higher
$0 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low in Munich on August 31 between 14–17°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds, creating tight clustering around 13–15°C in trader pricing. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling after sunset, potential for brief rain to suppress temperature drops by releasing latent heat, and subtle steering influences from a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing slightly cooler Atlantic air advection. Model spreads arise from resolution differences in boundary-layer humidity and wind shear, with historical August minima averaging 12.4°C but recent late-month conditions running 2–3°C above baseline. Updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service or ECMWF on August 30 could sharpen resolution odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low in Munich on August 31 between 14–17°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds, creating tight clustering around 13–15°C in trader pricing. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling after sunset, potential for brief rain to suppress temperature drops by releasing latent heat, and subtle steering influences from a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing slightly cooler Atlantic air advection. Model spreads arise from resolution differences in boundary-layer humidity and wind shear, with historical August minima averaging 12.4°C but recent late-month conditions running 2–3°C above baseline. Updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service or ECMWF on August 30 could sharpen resolution odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low in Munich on August 31 between 14–17°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds, creating tight clustering around 13–15°C in trader pricing. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling after sunset, potential for brief rain to suppress temperature drops by releasing latent heat, and subtle steering influences from a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing slightly cooler Atlantic air advection. Model spreads arise from resolution differences in boundary-layer humidity and wind shear, with historical August minima averaging 12.4°C but recent late-month conditions running 2–3°C above baseline. Updated runs from agencies like the German Weather Service or ECMWF on August 30 could sharpen resolution odds before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions