Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in NYC on June 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 2?
54-55°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,691 交易量
$33,691 交易量
2026-06-02
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,691 交易量
$33,691 交易量
2026-06-02
45°F or below
$1,098 交易量
No
46-47°F
$1,087 交易量
No
48-49°F
$1,158 交易量
No
50-51°F
$1,747 交易量
No
52-53°F
$2,382 交易量
No
54-55°F
$9,625 交易量
Yes
56-57°F
$3,275 交易量
No
58-59°F
$6,133 交易量
No
60-61°F
$4,803 交易量
No
62-63°F
$1,923 交易量
No
64°F or higher
$459 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
交易量
$33,691結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,691結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions