Recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a cooling trend across northern France, with partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the 14–16°C range for Paris on August 20. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture, which directly influence how far surface temperatures fall overnight after daytime highs near 22–26°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 14–15°C, yet the current setup’s modest wind and variable cloudiness keep outcomes tightly balanced between 15°C and 16°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日巴黎最低溫度？
8月20日巴黎最低溫度？
15°C 38%
14°C 26%
16°C 24%
17°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
26%
15°C
38%
16°C
24%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
15°C 38%
14°C 26%
16°C 24%
17°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
11°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
12°C
$10 交易量
<1%
13°C
$5 交易量
5%
14°C
$82 交易量
26%
15°C
$165 交易量
38%
16°C
$212 交易量
24%
17°C
$270 交易量
7%
18°C
$165 交易量
2%
19°C
$221 交易量
1%
20°C
$176 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$316 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a cooling trend across northern France, with partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the 14–16°C range for Paris on August 20. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture, which directly influence how far surface temperatures fall overnight after daytime highs near 22–26°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 14–15°C, yet the current setup’s modest wind and variable cloudiness keep outcomes tightly balanced between 15°C and 16°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,632結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a cooling trend across northern France, with partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the 14–16°C range for Paris on August 20. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture, which directly influence how far surface temperatures fall overnight after daytime highs near 22–26°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 14–15°C, yet the current setup’s modest wind and variable cloudiness keep outcomes tightly balanced between 15°C and 16°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,632結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a cooling trend across northern France, with partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the 14–16°C range for Paris on August 20. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture, which directly influence how far surface temperatures fall overnight after daytime highs near 22–26°C. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 14–15°C, yet the current setup’s modest wind and variable cloudiness keep outcomes tightly balanced between 15°C and 16°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions