Recent National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts for Seattle indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 58–61°F on August 23, driven by a cooler maritime air mass and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling over Puget Sound. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 57°F but can rise under weak onshore flow or residual moisture from scattered showers earlier in the period. Trader consensus in the 60–61°F bucket at 41% reflects the latest model runs favoring the upper end of the typical range, with secondary support for 58–59°F and 62–63°F as uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind remains. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日西雅圖的最低溫度?
53°F or below 46%
60-61°F 41%
58-59°F 29%
62-63°F 29%
53°F or below
46%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
41%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
11%
72°F or higher
11%
53°F or below 46%
60-61°F 41%
58-59°F 29%
62-63°F 29%
53°F or below
46%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
41%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
11%
72°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble forecasts for Seattle indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 58–61°F on August 23, driven by a cooler maritime air mass and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling over Puget Sound. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 57°F but can rise under weak onshore flow or residual moisture from scattered showers earlier in the period. Trader consensus in the 60–61°F bucket at 41% reflects the latest model runs favoring the upper end of the typical range, with secondary support for 58–59°F and 62–63°F as uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind remains. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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