Current forecast models, including consensus from GFS and similar systems, indicate a daytime high of 32–33°C for Ankara on September 13 under clear skies and light winds typical of the region's mid-September continental climate. This positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 57% implied probability, followed closely by 32°C, reflecting minimal expected deviation from recent stable high-pressure conditions and zero precipitation risk. Historical baselines for the period support highs near 27–29°C, but the current warm anomaly sustains trader focus on these two thresholds. With resolution imminent, any last-minute model shifts or observational updates from monitoring agencies could influence final readings, though the narrow spread in outcomes underscores limited uncertainty at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日安卡拉的最高温度?
33°C 59%
32°C 38%
34°C 4%
31°C 3%
$11,922 交易量
$11,922 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
38%
33°C
59%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 38%
34°C 4%
31°C 3%
$11,922 交易量
$11,922 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
38%
33°C
59%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models, including consensus from GFS and similar systems, indicate a daytime high of 32–33°C for Ankara on September 13 under clear skies and light winds typical of the region's mid-September continental climate. This positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 57% implied probability, followed closely by 32°C, reflecting minimal expected deviation from recent stable high-pressure conditions and zero precipitation risk. Historical baselines for the period support highs near 27–29°C, but the current warm anomaly sustains trader focus on these two thresholds. With resolution imminent, any last-minute model shifts or observational updates from monitoring agencies could influence final readings, though the narrow spread in outcomes underscores limited uncertainty at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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