Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light winds over Ankara through September 13, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling under high pressure and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16°C at official stations. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region's elevated continental location, where dew points in the single digits Celsius facilitate rapid temperature drops after sunset. Trader positioning favoring 12°C or below likely reflects awareness of model spread and potential for localized cooling or station-specific readings, while the secondary emphasis on 22°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement timing. New high-resolution runs and Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日安卡拉最低气温？
9月13日安卡拉最低气温？
22°C或更高 71%
16°C 39%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
44%
13°C
24%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
39%
17°C
24%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C或更高
71%
22°C或更高 71%
16°C 39%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
12°C或以下
$81 交易量
44%
13°C
$0 交易量
24%
14°C
$42 交易量
22%
15°C
$92 交易量
22%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
24%
18°C
$84 交易量
38%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light winds over Ankara through September 13, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling under high pressure and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16°C at official stations. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region's elevated continental location, where dew points in the single digits Celsius facilitate rapid temperature drops after sunset. Trader positioning favoring 12°C or below likely reflects awareness of model spread and potential for localized cooling or station-specific readings, while the secondary emphasis on 22°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement timing. New high-resolution runs and Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$299结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light winds over Ankara through September 13, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling under high pressure and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16°C at official stations. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region's elevated continental location, where dew points in the single digits Celsius facilitate rapid temperature drops after sunset. Trader positioning favoring 12°C or below likely reflects awareness of model spread and potential for localized cooling or station-specific readings, while the secondary emphasis on 22°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement timing. New high-resolution runs and Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$299结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light winds over Ankara through September 13, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling under high pressure and supporting minimum temperatures near 14–16°C at official stations. This setup aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region's elevated continental location, where dew points in the single digits Celsius facilitate rapid temperature drops after sunset. Trader positioning favoring 12°C or below likely reflects awareness of model spread and potential for localized cooling or station-specific readings, while the secondary emphasis on 22°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement timing. New high-resolution runs and Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题