National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 30?
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$43,437 交易量
$43,437 交易量
2026-04-30
73°F or below
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$43,437 交易量
$43,437 交易量
2026-04-30
73°F or below
$7,416 交易量
Yes
74-75°F
$4,151 交易量
No
76-77°F
$4,413 交易量
No
78-79°F
$6,855 交易量
No
80-81°F
$4,973 交易量
No
82-83°F
$6,064 交易量
No
84-85°F
$2,437 交易量
No
86-87°F
$2,134 交易量
No
88-89°F
$1,434 交易量
No
90-91°F
$1,173 交易量
No
92°F or higher
$2,387 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$43,437结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$43,437结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题