Trader consensus on Polymarket implies near-even odds for Dallas highs of 80-83°F on March 29, mirroring tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which center around 81-82°F. This positioning stems from a strengthening upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds advecting warm Gulf air, pushing above-normal temperatures (climatological average ~72°F) while capping extremes via light winds and dry mid-levels. Differentiating factors include minor model disagreements on afternoon cloud development and shear-induced mixing, with 2-3°F variations possible; recent runs trended 1-2°F warmer amid ridge amplification. New NWS guidance and model updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月29日达拉斯的最高温度？
3月29日达拉斯的最高温度？
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
14%
86-87华氏度
9%
88-89华氏度
4%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
73°F或以下
$740 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$423 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$566 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$732 交易量
14%
80-81°F
$671 交易量
25%
82-83°F
$501 交易量
29%
84-85°F
$453 交易量
14%
86-87华氏度
$421 交易量
9%
88-89华氏度
$401 交易量
4%
90-91°F
$598 交易量
1%
92°F或更高
$767 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies near-even odds for Dallas highs of 80-83°F on March 29, mirroring tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which center around 81-82°F. This positioning stems from a strengthening upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds advecting warm Gulf air, pushing above-normal temperatures (climatological average ~72°F) while capping extremes via light winds and dry mid-levels. Differentiating factors include minor model disagreements on afternoon cloud development and shear-induced mixing, with 2-3°F variations possible; recent runs trended 1-2°F warmer amid ridge amplification. New NWS guidance and model updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$6,273结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies near-even odds for Dallas highs of 80-83°F on March 29, mirroring tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which center around 81-82°F. This positioning stems from a strengthening upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds advecting warm Gulf air, pushing above-normal temperatures (climatological average ~72°F) while capping extremes via light winds and dry mid-levels. Differentiating factors include minor model disagreements on afternoon cloud development and shear-induced mixing, with 2-3°F variations possible; recent runs trended 1-2°F warmer amid ridge amplification. New NWS guidance and model updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,273结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies near-even odds for Dallas highs of 80-83°F on March 29, mirroring tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which center around 81-82°F. This positioning stems from a strengthening upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds advecting warm Gulf air, pushing above-normal temperatures (climatological average ~72°F) while capping extremes via light winds and dry mid-levels. Differentiating factors include minor model disagreements on afternoon cloud development and shear-induced mixing, with 2-3°F variations possible; recent runs trended 1-2°F warmer amid ridge amplification. New NWS guidance and model updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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