Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 26?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,768 交易量
$68,768 交易量
2026-04-26
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,768 交易量
$68,768 交易量
2026-04-26
26°C or below
$11,019 交易量
No
27°C
$3,156 交易量
No
28°C
$3,546 交易量
No
29°C
$5,539 交易量
No
30°C
$6,865 交易量
No
31°C
$14,167 交易量
No
32°C
$10,710 交易量
Yes
33°C
$5,807 交易量
No
34°C
$4,498 交易量
No
35°C
$1,707 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$1,754 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
交易量
$68,768结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$68,768结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题