Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from late May 5, 2026, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C at key stations including the Observatory headquarters and Chek Lap Kok, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon suppressing highs. This aligns with model consensus forecasts showing cool, cloudy conditions with east-southeast winds limiting daytime warming, well below May's typical average maximum of around 28°C. While measurement revisions from outlier stations are theoretically possible, they are exceedingly rare post-preliminary validation, solidifying the market's resolution based on verified meteorological data from the territory's authoritative monitoring body.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$475,657 交易量
$475,657 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$475,657 交易量
$475,657 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from late May 5, 2026, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C at key stations including the Observatory headquarters and Chek Lap Kok, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon suppressing highs. This aligns with model consensus forecasts showing cool, cloudy conditions with east-southeast winds limiting daytime warming, well below May's typical average maximum of around 28°C. While measurement revisions from outlier stations are theoretically possible, they are exceedingly rare post-preliminary validation, solidifying the market's resolution based on verified meteorological data from the territory's authoritative monitoring body.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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