National Weather Service guidance for Houston pegs the March 29 high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds at 5-10 mph, tempering trader sentiment after a cold front swept through late Friday, shifting from prior southerly flow and highs in the mid-80s. The razor-thin split between 80-81°F (34.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.5%) reflects model ensemble divergence: GFS runs favor more afternoon cloudiness and sea breeze moderation capping peaks lower, while ECMWF projects clearer conditions and better vertical mixing for a slight uptick. Upper-air patterns show weak ridging aloft supporting above-normal warmth (March climatological average ~75°F at Bush Intercontinental), but boundary layer moisture remains the key differentiator. Hourly NWS updates today could tip the balance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月29日休斯顿的最高温度?
3月29日休斯顿的最高温度?
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
73°F或以下
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77华氏度
2%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
73°F或以下
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77华氏度
2%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Houston pegs the March 29 high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds at 5-10 mph, tempering trader sentiment after a cold front swept through late Friday, shifting from prior southerly flow and highs in the mid-80s. The razor-thin split between 80-81°F (34.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (31.5%) reflects model ensemble divergence: GFS runs favor more afternoon cloudiness and sea breeze moderation capping peaks lower, while ECMWF projects clearer conditions and better vertical mixing for a slight uptick. Upper-air patterns show weak ridging aloft supporting above-normal warmth (March climatological average ~75°F at Bush Intercontinental), but boundary layer moisture remains the key differentiator. Hourly NWS updates today could tip the balance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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